Sunday April 2

Based in Valpo, there's a good chance I'll chase to the west on Sunday, perhaps with the VUSIT folks. Although a northwest/west central IL target would be preferable, I do think there's a possibility that the primary/discrete supercell development may largely be confined to MO and perhaps extreme southern IA. I'm concerned that the n/ne extent of the warm sector across northern into central IL during the day may be hampered by morning convection -- currently pushing into western portions of IA/MO at midnight. With that said, the surface low will be deepening/advancing NE toward Lake Michigan, a positive for the warm front lifting north across central IL provided the early convection diminishes by midday. Otherwise, the parameter space/mode appears sufficiently favorable for tornadic supercells. Appears storm motions will roughly be to the ENE at ~40 kts. With logistics etc. in mind, my target leaning is Quincy to Jacksonville, IL. The good thing... an extra hour of daylight! :)