Wednesday, April 26, 2006

Friday April 28 Potential

Friday morning update --- Sitting this one out today. Felt too far a drive for best potential -- although kinematics/thermodynamics look good, I'm afraid storms would fire too early/perhaps too extenstively, thus complicating discrete supercell/tornado potential later this afternoon. For kicks, my virtual target is Abilene to San Angelo, TX or generally between the I-10/I-20 corridor. Otherwise, bring on the rain in Norman!
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As of Wednesday evening, I'm contemplating a potential chase into Texas on Friday April 28. Current model runs suggest decent potential for supercells/possible tornadoes across west/west central TX. Two days out, I'd roughly think the Abilene area. If the situation appears borderline and/or further southwest etc., I'll likely 'conserve resources' for later in May. More thoughts later.

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